Monday, 16 May 2011
Swansea v Nott'm Forest, (agg 0-0), POSF, L2, 19:45
Tuesday, 17 May 2011
So, currently the two Welsh teams have a good chance of making it to the finals with their games finishing goalless in the first leg.
Swansea v Nottingham Forest
Swansea have one of the best home records in their division with 15 wins and only 3 losses, scoring 41 and only conceding 11
Whereas Nottingham Forest has had a mixed results away with 7W 7D 9L.
The bet here is now for Swansea to win this game due to their superiority at homes games, and Nottingham Forest failing to beat a resolute Swansea team that was reduced to 10 men in the second minute!
Under/Over 2.5 goals
I fancy the over 2.5 goals which is currently trading at 2.32, as I believe there will be a goal or two in the first half.
Once an early goal is scored, I would then bet for under 2.5 which should trade at around 2.5, which will hopefully give you a win-win result.
Although, I am not sure about this as there may only be two goals in total for this game.
Result: Swansea win 3-1
Cardiff v Reading
Cardiff have been pretty okay at home, with 12 home wins out of 23 games, with Reading only losing 5 games away all season.
I still feel that Cardiff are probably the underdogs in this game, and a punt on Reading at 3.3 to win away. Although I would like to see Cardiff progress, and even if they score an early goal to calm their nerves they may still 'bottle' the game and lose in the end. I hope I am wrong.
Under/Over 2.5 Goals
Currently at 2.24 for over 2.5 goals, and I believe that the game being stalemate in the first leg, will enable an early goal in the first half (Cardiff more likely to score first), so a bet on over may be worth it, and again, you can always bet for under when the first goal is scored, although this has the classic of being a 2-2 game!
The only way I can lose on this is if it stays 0-0, but if you want to play safe you could also bet for a draw at 3.35 (on Bet Fair).
Result: finished 3-0 to Reading.
No comments:
Post a Comment