Over 1.5 goals strategy

I have decided to alter the over 0.5 goals strategy (taken from Betfair Forum) as the odds started at 1.08.

The strategy is you start with x amount, and stake this on a game for over 0.5 goals (in effect you are betting that the game will not be 0-0). If you win, then you stake this (including the small profit) on another game, and so on. The only thing that is annoying is that you really need to win at least 10 games in a row to make your stake back. Is it worth the risk?

See below example, staking £10 bet at the beginning, you would need 9 wins to be profitable, and then you will be staking the full amount, so you will need to siphon a small proportion of the winnings each time which would be very small and no point. The best way of playing this is to have a certain number of wins then start again when you reach your target.

 I do not find this to be profitable, so have altered it to bet on over 1.5 goals, and tend to bet after 10 minutes into the game. The odds are normally a better risk to take around 1.35.

The example is odds at 1.25 which is the average odds at the beginning of the match, and the below startegy I employ is to bet and (hopefully) win four games in a row. From that you would have won your stake back, so you can choose to withdraw this or continue to bet but each time you win you keep a small proportion of the winnings at certain intervals.

If you wait then the profit will be £5 or even £10, so you could take that and continue to win that at each game you stake, until you hit a game that does not go your way. Although then the profit will not increase.

It can happen that the game does not end with 2 goals or more, and you will need to analyse the market. Currently the Premiership has a high percentage of over 1.5 goals. League Two has an average of around 50-60% of over 1.5 goals so best to avoid the lower leagues.

One tip is to follow a particular team. Wolves and Blackburn seem to have a number of over 1.5 goals in a game and even over 2.5 goals is worth a punt (but the more goals the more likely of a loss so you will need to weigh this up).

Should you decide to try this with Betfair, then please sign up using my code LF3PGA3MV