Sun 22/09/13 Football

My current strategy of Over 0.5 has a slight fault which I noticed as every time I lost I would double my bet, and when I win (normally at 1.11), I would only reduce my starting bet by 5% of the winnings, which meant I would be required to win 20 times in a row to get back to my original bet position. Obviously, I am more than likely to lose by that time, so I would double my bet again, and so on, slowly accumulating my starting bet until it got an outrageous amount that I would not consider betting.

I thought that picking a game that would not be 0-0 would be easy, but it appears, if you bet a lot of games, the chance of picking one is quite common.

I have listed the current matches playing today with the odds of 0-0 or under 0.5 goals (same bet, but sometimes different odds. Not 100% sure why that is, maybe some punters like playing one over the other and did not realise they are the same).

So my current strategy is now betting on 0-0 FT result. I have underlined the games, I am considering betting 0-0 on - obviously, I will get them all wrong, but may get one right, in which case, I should be up! If I am wrong, then I only lose a small amount of money.

11:00
Betis v Granada 12.5

11:30
Sassuolo v Inter 13.5

13:00
Lorient v Bordeaux 9.2

13:30
Arsenal v Stoke 17.00
C Palace v Swansea 11.5

14:00
AS Roma v Lazio 13
Atalanta v Fiorentino 11.5
Bologna v Torino 9.2
Catania v Parma 10.5
Juventus v Verona 25

14:30
Freiburg v Hertha 13.5

15:00
Wigan v Ipswich 13.5
Dundee Utd v Motherwell 13

16:00
Cardiff v Tottenham 12
Man City v Man Utd 12.5
Lyon v Nantes 10
Nice v Valenciennes 9.6
Celta Vigo v Villarreal 14.5

16:30
Stuttgart v Frankfurt 16.5

18:00
Real Madrid v Getafe 65

19:45
AC Milan v Napoli 14

20:00
PSG v Monaco 12
Valencia v Sevilla 15

Odds taken from betfair.com as of 22/09/13 10:42am, so may have changed.

If I have time, I will put the time the first goal went in, and the half-time and full-time score, and see if any games actually finished 0-0 at all.