Sunday 29 September 2013

Sun 29/09/13


Sunday matches with odds of 0-0 Full-time score in brackets.


11:00
Osasuna v Levante (9.4)


11:30
Torino v Juventus (13.5)

13:00
Rennes v Nantes (9.2)

13:30
Stoke v Norwich (9.6)

14:00
Atalanta v Udinese (10)
Cagliari v Inter (12.5)
Catania v Chievo (9.6)
Sassuolo v Lazio (11.5)
Verona v Livorno (9.6)

14:30
Bremen v Nurnberg (13)

15:00
Coventry v Brentford (15)

16:00
Sunderland v Liverpool (12.5)
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Ajaccio v Montpellier (9)
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Celta Vigo v Elche (10.5)

16:30
Braunschweig v Stuttgart (14.5)

18:00
Espanyol v Getafe (11.5)

19:45
AS Roma v Bologna (18)

20:00
Reims v Monaco (12)
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Betis v Villarreal (13.5)

Saturday 28 September 2013

Sat 28/09/13



Matches (ordered by time) and odds of under 0.5 goals

12:15
N'Forest v Derby (13.5) - 41st

12:45
Tottenham v Chelsea (10.5)

14:30
Bayern v Wolfsburg (34)
Dortmund v Freiburg (36)
Hertha v Mainz (13.5)
Hoffenheim v Schalke (21)
Leverkusen v Hannover (26)


15:00
Aston Villa v Man City (14.5)
Fulham v Cardiff (11)
Hull v West Ham (9)
Man Utd v WBA (22)
Southampton v C Palace (15)
##
Bolton v Yeovil (15)
Bournemouth v Blackburn (12)
Burnley v Charlton (14)
Ipswich v Brighton (10.5)
Leicester v Barnsley (20)
Milwall v Leeds (11.5)
QPR v Middlesbrough (14)
Reading v Birmingham (14)
Sheff Wed v Doncaster (13.5)
Watford v Wigan (16.5)
##
Valencia v Vallecano (25)

17:00
Almeria v Barcelona (36)

17:30
Swansea v Arsenal (14.5)
##
Frankfurt v Hamburg (17.5)

19:00
Real Sociedad v Sevilla (13.5)

21:00
Real Madrid v Atl Madrid (21)


Wed 25/09/13 RESULTS

Results for Wednesday games.


19:00
Granada v Valencia (12) - 90th (0-0) 0-1
Sevilla v Vallecano (21) - 17th (1-0) 4-1

19:45
Bologna v AC Milan (10) - 12th (1-1) 3-3
Chievo v Juventus (13.5) - 28th (1-0) 1-2
Lazio v Catania (12) - 4th (2-1) 3-1
Livorno v Cagliari (9.4) - 23rd (1-0) 1-1
Napoli v Sassoulo (30) - 15th (1-1) 1-1
Parma v Atalanta (8.8) - 19th (4-2) 4-3
Sampdoria v AS Roma (11) - 65th (0-0) 0-2
Tonrino v Verona (9.2) - 36th (1-1) 2-2

Birmingham v Swansea (15) - 57th (0-0) 3-1
Man U v Liverpool (13.5) - 46th (0-0) 1-0
Newcastle v Leeds (15) - 31st (1-0) 2-0
Tranmere v Stoke (12) - 23rd (0-1) 0-2

20:00
West Brom v Arsenal (17.5) - 61st (0-0) 1-1
Monoca v Bastia - 39th (2-0) 3-0

21:00
Elche v Real Madrid (30) - 51st (0-0) 1-2


Wednesday 25 September 2013

Wed 25/09/13 - Football


Matches and odds for under 0.5 goals for Tuesday


19:00
Granada v Valencia (12)
Sevilla v Vallecano (21)

19:45
Bologna v AC Milan (10)
Chievo v Juventus (13.5)
Lazio v Catania (12)
Livorno v Cagliari (9.4)
Napoli v Sassoulo (30)
Parma v Atalanta (8.8)
Sampdoria v AS Roma (11)
Tonrino v Verona (9.2)

Birmingham v Swansea (15)
Man U v Liverpool (13.5)
Newcastle v Leeds (15)
Tranmere v Stoke (12)

20:00
West Brom v Arsenal (17.5)

21:00
Elche v Real Madrid (30)

I have underlined the ones that I am considering (based on odds and haven't really looked if possible), so will get all wrong, but I will probably have a look at past performance before actually betting on the matches so they may change!

Tue 24/09/13 - RESULT




18:00
Lille v Evian TG (under 2.5 goals @ 1.82) - 12th (2-0) 3-0

19:00
Barcelona v Real Sociedad (under 0.5 goals @ 75) - 5th (3-0) 4-1
Levante v Valladolid (draw @ 3.45) - 36th (1-1) 1-1 - CORRECT

19:45
Udinese v Genoa (under 0.5 goals @ 11) - 79th (0-0) 1-0

20:00
Marseille v St Etienne (under 1.5 goals @ 3) - 22nd (2-1) 2-1

21:00
Atl Madrid v Osasuna (Under 0.5 goals @ 21) - 18th (2-1) 2-1
Malaga v Almeria (Under 1.5 goals @ 4.8) - 68th (0-0) 2-0

I only appear to have had one result right for today.
It is rather poor to be honest, but I did do okay with the Udinese game, as I pick 0-0 for HT and FT, so I won the half time result which was at 3.05, and as the goal was scored in the 79th minute, I did manage to lay 0-0, and won £6 instead of £15.

Monday 23 September 2013

Tue 24/09/13 - Football

A quick look on the games playing on Tuesday, and I have altered my bets (I should really stick to one strategy, but I always alter it, until I get a completely worse strategy that I lose, and then give up on, when I should play the one that works well!

Obvioulsy Barcelona will win, but I am hopeful that they can make it to half-time at 0-0, then I will definitely cash out, Should get a reasonable sum back as it is very unlikely.

18:00
Lille v Evian TG (under 2.5 goals @ 1.82)

19:00
Barcelona v Real Sociedad (under 0.5 goals @ 75)
Levante v Valladolid (draw @ 3.45)

19:45
Udinese v Genoa (under 0.5 goals @ 11)

20:00
Marseille v St Etienne (under 1.5 goals @ 3)

21:00
Atl Madrid v Osasuna (Under 0.5 goals @ 21)
Malaga v Almeria (Under 1.5 goals @ 4.8)

Sun 22/09/13 - Results

Results for Sunday matches. There hasn't been many early goals in the previous weeks, so it looks like today is going to be loads. I am not that bothered if I lose, as already got a 0-0 result from the 11am kick off @ 12.5, so I can lose all the rest. One interesting bet, could be to bet on 0-10 min first goal, but too late now.
In hindsight, as soon as saw a few early goals, I should have also wagered the 0-10 min first goal scored (normally around 4/1).

11:00
Betis v Granada 12.5 - (0-0) 0-0

11:30
Sassuolo v Inter 13.5 - 7th (0-3) 0-7

13:00
Lorient v Bordeaux 9.2 - 8th (2-3) 3-3

13:30
Arsenal v Stoke 17 - 5th (2-1) 3-1
C Palace v Swansea 11.5 - 2nd (0-1) 0-2

14:00
AS Roma v Lazio 13 - 63rd (0-0) 2-0
Atalanta v Fiorentino 11.5 - 41st (0-1) 0-2
Bologna v Torino 9.2 - 2nd (1-2) 1-2
Catania v Parma 10.5 (0-0) 0-0
Juventus v Verona 25 - 37th (2-1) 2-1

14:30
Freiburg v Hertha 13.5 - 6th (1-1) 1-1

15:00
Wigan v Ipswich 13.5 - 12th (1-0) 2-0
Dundee Utd v Motherwell 13 - 30th (0-1) 2-2

16:00
Cardiff v Tottenham 12 - 90th (0-0) 0-1
Man City v Man Utd 12.5 - 16th (2-0) 4-1
Lyon v Nantes 10 - 24th (1-1) 3-1
Nice v Valenciennes 9.6 - 32nd (2-0) 4-0
Celta Vigo v Villarreal 14.5 - (0-0) 0-0

16:30
Stuttgart v Frankfurt 16.5 - 14th (1-1) 1-1

18:00
Real Madrid v Getafe 65 - 5th (2-1) 4-1

19:45
AC Milan v Napoli 14 - 6th (0-1) 1-2

20:00
PSG v Monaco 12 - 5th (1-1) 1-1
Valencia v Sevilla 15 - 32nd (1-0) 3-1

Only three 0-0 scores for the day, so the strategy of picking 0-0 seems to be doing better than picking games for over 0.5 goals, so I will continue with this strategy, as I don't seem to lose too much, but I have a bigger profit margin, so worth the risk.


Sunday 22 September 2013

Sun 22/09/13 Football

My current strategy of Over 0.5 has a slight fault which I noticed as every time I lost I would double my bet, and when I win (normally at 1.11), I would only reduce my starting bet by 5% of the winnings, which meant I would be required to win 20 times in a row to get back to my original bet position. Obviously, I am more than likely to lose by that time, so I would double my bet again, and so on, slowly accumulating my starting bet until it got an outrageous amount that I would not consider betting.

I thought that picking a game that would not be 0-0 would be easy, but it appears, if you bet a lot of games, the chance of picking one is quite common.

I have listed the current matches playing today with the odds of 0-0 or under 0.5 goals (same bet, but sometimes different odds. Not 100% sure why that is, maybe some punters like playing one over the other and did not realise they are the same).

So my current strategy is now betting on 0-0 FT result. I have underlined the games, I am considering betting 0-0 on - obviously, I will get them all wrong, but may get one right, in which case, I should be up! If I am wrong, then I only lose a small amount of money.

11:00
Betis v Granada 12.5

11:30
Sassuolo v Inter 13.5

13:00
Lorient v Bordeaux 9.2

13:30
Arsenal v Stoke 17.00
C Palace v Swansea 11.5

14:00
AS Roma v Lazio 13
Atalanta v Fiorentino 11.5
Bologna v Torino 9.2
Catania v Parma 10.5
Juventus v Verona 25

14:30
Freiburg v Hertha 13.5

15:00
Wigan v Ipswich 13.5
Dundee Utd v Motherwell 13

16:00
Cardiff v Tottenham 12
Man City v Man Utd 12.5
Lyon v Nantes 10
Nice v Valenciennes 9.6
Celta Vigo v Villarreal 14.5

16:30
Stuttgart v Frankfurt 16.5

18:00
Real Madrid v Getafe 65

19:45
AC Milan v Napoli 14

20:00
PSG v Monaco 12
Valencia v Sevilla 15

Odds taken from betfair.com as of 22/09/13 10:42am, so may have changed.

If I have time, I will put the time the first goal went in, and the half-time and full-time score, and see if any games actually finished 0-0 at all.