7 days...

I have recovered my loss of three games last weekend with a high number of bets placed on Good Friday, with only one failing (£2 loss so not that bad and did not really affect my profit).

From 23/03/13 - 29/03/13

I am now going to look at another strategy which may mix with the over goal market, and play both together, but we will see.

There were only two games I placed which I moved away from the over goals market, mainly the Both Teams to Score (BTS) with Leicester v Millwall. I was only going to bet on the other Championship game being played at the same time Derby v Bristol City as I thought that would be more likely to have goals. With Leicester having a man sent off in the 4th minute, I decided to bet that BTS would not happen, as Leicester with a man down, may just play defensive for the remainder of the game. A goal was scored in the 80th minute, so I was right (in this case).

The Scunthorpe game, I just bet on this in the 80th minute (odds at 1.16) and they were leading 2-1, so I just took a chance - no idea why I picked this, but I was looking at the League One games 

Also, I have done a few bets on under 4.5 goals at the beginning of the match, but I don't think I will continue with this, as I cannot bet throughout the game in case they lose, and the odds are poor, when I get bet over 0.5 and get about the same odds, and also bet on other matches once it happens.

My loss after my win

Well, I guess I wrote too soon, I ended up losing three bets over the weekend

From 23/03/13 - 27/03/13

I am currently down £35.50 from the date I lost my first bet.
The previous profit will be ignored, and I will start from this to see how long I take to recover my loss, and also, to see whether I can end up with a profit if I win a number of games in a row.

I will try and play safe, by betting at the beginning of the match rather than at Half-time when the odds are better to give me more chance to win consecutively.

So, will post the profit from 23rd March until my loss is cleared.

Betfair profit

I have been playing over/under goals for the last month and I have been rather profitable on this strategy

screen shot of my P&L for the last 30 days from Betfair

Although I do not win much (average win £5), it is profitable as I have won the last 28 matches and it all adds up.

I have actually recouped my losses from the first half of the season, but this strategy of betting on over 0.5 goals is good, as you do not find many games finishing 0-0 - unless you are unlucky.

Again, I always recommend that you research games you bet on, and never rely on anyone else's tip.