Sat 29th November 2014 - Laying at 2-0

I am currently looking at games where the home or away team lead by 2 goals.

In today's games (I have looked at Premiership, Championship and the Bundesliga), there were only five that matched this criteria


Bournemouth v Millwall
23rd 1-0
26th 2-0 odds 1.06 / 1.08
75th 2-1 odds 1.13 / 1.16
89th 2-2 odds 6.4 / 7.6


Bremen v Paderborn
1-0 10th
2-0 48th odds 1.09 / 1.10
3-0 50th
4-0 80th


Man u v Hull
16th
42nd 2-0 Odds 1.03 / 1.04
67th 3-0 Odds -- / 1.01


Leeds v Derby
42nd 1-0
49th 2-0 Odds 1.21 / 1.23


Brentford v Wolves
28th 1-0
74th 2-0 odds 1.03 / 1.04
83rd 3-0 odds -- / 1.01

NB: Odds are from Betfair at time of goal, (bet odds / lay odds)

Only Bournemouth lost when they lead 2-0, and the other game of interest was the Leeds v Derby game, Leeds lead 2-0 and the odds were at a tasty 1.21 on betfair, and I was debating this.

I noticed that the other games where the team lead 2-0 the odds were considerably lower. So I may look at this next week, and see whether this is an interesting lay bet.

18/01/14 football tips

I am only betting on over 0.5 goals, but I am still interested in looking at HT FT results, so I have looked at the frequency of certain result to see whether the result will be for today's matches.


Liverpool v Aston Villa
Bet H/H @ 1.69
Home team resulted 9/10.

Bet Over 3.5 goals @ 2.14
Home: 6/10
Away 3/10

Arsenal v Fulham
Bet D/H @ 4.9
Away: 4/10 occasions.
On the other hand Arsenal has had H/H 6/10

C Palace v Stoke
Bet Over 3.5 goals @ 4.7
Away:  5/10,
Home: 2/10


Man C v Cardiff
Bet Over 3.5 goals @ 1.92
Home has had 6/10
Away has had 2/10



Birmingham v Yeovil
Bet D/H @ 5.1
Away: 4/12
Home: 0/12

Derby v Brighton
Bet Draw at HT @ 2.28
Away: 8/12
Home: 2/12

Middlesbro v Charlton
Bet: H/H @ 3.05
Away: 5/12
Home: 4/12

Millwall v Ipswich
Bet D/D @ 5.5
Away: 4/12
Home: 1/12

QPR v Huddersfield
Bet Draw at HT @ 2.3
Away: 7/12
Home: 6/12

Doncaster v Wigan
Bet H/H @ 9.4
Away: 5/11
Home: 2/12
-- OR --
Bet A/A @ 3.05
Home: 6/12
Away: 2/11

Premiership Relegation battle

Its a New year, and I have decided to have a look at the Relegation odds to see how much the Festive periods has altered the odds

Odds taken from Betfair on 02/01/2014

Crystal Palace (17th) and Sunderland (20th) are favourite to drop, and I would have assumed the team at the bottom of the table will be odds on to be relegated, but C Palace is fave for this.