Weekend 31st March 2012 - RESULT

 Tips for over 1.5 goals

Peterborough v Leicester @ 1.23 (0-0) 1-0 LOST
Wolverhampton v Bolton @ 1.3 * (0-0) 2-3 WON
Man City v Sunderland @ 1.22 (1-2) 3-3 WON

QPR v Arsenal @ 1.25 (1-1) 2-1 WON
Stevenage v Wycombe @ 1.31 (0-0) 1-1 WON
Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 1.3 (0-0) 2-1 WON

I had 5 out of 6 correct, and was lucky, although I have noticed the games that I pick seem to be 0-0 at half-time.

Draw games

League One
Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 3.4 (0-0) 2-1

Chesterfield v Scunthorpe @ 3.5 (1-1) 1-4
Rochdale v Walsall @ 3.3  (0-2) 3-3

I had one right so I would have won a small percentage, a £10 bet on a draw each would have made me just under £3. So I do not think this is worth while.

STATISTICS
Over 1.5 goals
Premier League - 7 out of 7
Championship - 7 out of 10 (not including Blackpool v Southampton)
League One - 9 out of 12
League Two - 5 out of 10

Again, Premiership has a high percentage for over 1.5 goals, and League Two is a good place to bet for under 1.5 goals (normally odds are around 3.2).

Weekend 31st March 2012

Tips for over 1.5 goals

Peterborough v Leicester @ 1.23
Wolverhampton v Bolton @ 1.3 *
Man City v Sunderland @ 1.22

QPR v Arsenal @ 1.25
Stevenage v Wycombe @ 1.31
Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 1.3

Draw games

If I get one game right below then I have a small profit. The away teams have had a majority of draws, so curious whether this is a good bet to do.

League One
Carlisle v Huddersfield @ 3.4 DRAW
Chesterfield v Scunthorpe @ 3.5 DRAW
Rochdale v Walsall @ 3.3 DRAW

Weekend 24 March 2012 - RESULT

Arsenal v Aston Villa (3-0)
Chelsea v Tottenham* (0-0)
Bolton v Blackburn* (2-1)

Barnsley v Peterborough (1-0)
Reading v Blackpool (3-1)
Wycombe v MK Dons (1-1)
Colchester v Carlisle (1-1)
Yeovil v Hartlepool (0-1)
AFC Wimbledon v Burton* (4-0)
Bristol Rovers v Southend* (1-0)
Crawley v Rotherham (3-0)
Northampton v Plymouth (0-0)

I had 7 right out of 12 (58% win), which is again poor. I need to have a 80% to make this a good strategy.

I have listed the leagues and the number of games that had over 1.5 goals

Premiership - 7 wins out of 8
Championship - 9 wins out of 11
League One -  6 wins out of 11
League Two - 5 wins out of 10

So, it may be better to concentrate on the Premiership and Championship games only, as it appears to be low scoring games in the lower leagues.

Blackpool have continued with scoring and conceding one in a game.

Weekend 24 March 2012

My tips for over 1.5 goals in a match

Arsenal v Aston Villa
Chelsea v Tottenham*
Bolton v Blackburn*

Barnsley v Peterborough
Reading v Blackpool

Wycombe v MK Dons
Colchester v Carlisle
Yeovil v Hartlepool

AFC Wimbledon v Burton*
Bristol Rovers v Southend*
Crawley v Rotherham
Northampton v Plymouth

Midweek - 20th March 2012 RESULT

Peterborough v Reading (3-1)
Carlisle v Preston (0-0)
Blackburn v Sunderland (2-0)
Gillingham v Crawley Town (0-1)
Accrington Stanley v Morecambe (1-1)
Port Vale v Hereford (1-0)
Barnet v Dag & Red (2-2)
Crewe v Bradford (1-0)

Wow, I only 4/8 to get 2 or more goals, so if I betted under 1.5 goals I would be up by a bit.

This is not good, started with a loss.

Midweek - 20th March 2012

I have started looking at goals (again), and interested in the over 1.5 goals market. It is similar to the one I read about on Betfair where you bet on over 0.5 goals but the odds are around 25%, so my way gives you your starting bet back after 3-4 games.

So the games that I think will be over 1.5 goals are

Peterborough v Reading
Carlisle v Preston
Blackburn v Sunderland
Gillingham v Crawley Town
Accrington Stanley v Morecambe
Port Vale v Hereford
Barnet v Dag & Red
Crewe v Bradford

I have picked one game, and started with £10