Wednesday 30 November 2011

Midweek - 29 November 2011 RESULT

Half-time results
Derby v Brighton 0-0 @ 2.8 LOST 0-1
Reading v Peterborugh 0-0 @ 3.45 LOST 1-1
Southampton v Hull 0-0 @ 3.25 LOST 0-1
Watford v Bristol City 0-0 @ 2.96 LOST 2-1

Under/Overs

Derby v Brighton over 2.5 @ 2.2 LOST 0-1
Burnley v Ipswich over 2.5 @ 1.72 WON (2-0) 4-0 (expect 2 goals to be scored in 2nd half)
Middlesbrough v West Ham under 2.5 @ 1.83 WON 0-2

Oh well, I did not do that well in predicting the result midweek... Hopefully I will do better this weekend

Monday 28 November 2011

Midweek - 29 November 2011

I am only looking at the Championship game.

Half-time results

Derby v Brighton 0-0 @ 2.8
Reading v Peterborugh  0-0 @ 3.45
Southampton v Hull 0-0 @ 3.25
Watford v Bristol City 0-0 @ 2.96

Under/Overs

Derby v Brighton over 2.5 @ 2.2
Burnley v Ipswich over 2.5 @ 1.72 (expect 2 goals to be scored in 2nd half)
Middlesbrough v West Ham under 2.5 @ 1.83

Weekend - 26th November - RESULT

Home wins
West Ham v Derby WON 3-1
MK Dons v Wycombe WON 4-3
Arsenal v Fulham LOST 1-1
Stevenage v Walsall LOST 0-0
Sheffield Wed v Leyton Orient WON 1-0
Gillingham v Bradford LOST 0-0
Southend v Bristol Rovers LOST 1-1
Cardiff v Nottingham Forest WON 1-0
Hull v Burnley LOST 2-3
Hartlepool v Yeovil LOST 0-1
Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon WON 3-2

Away wins or draw
Peterborough v Middlesbrough WON 1-1
Chesterfield v Sheffield Utd WON 0-1
Bristol City v Southampton LOST 2-0



Stats
Ipswich v Reading - Under 2.5 @ 1.96. 6 out of 8 of Reading games away has been 0-0 at Half time. Either take a risky bet of 0-0 at Half time @ 3.05, or take a punt at under 2.5, and then bet for over 2.5 goals at Half-time.
RESULT: (0-0) 2-3
Southend v Bristol Rovers - Bristol Rovers last three away games were home team winning at half-time and full time. Although Southend record is slightly different, 4 out of 6 home games were 0-0 at Half-time and they won their game in the second half (Draw/Southend @ 5.0).
RESULT: (0-0) 1-1
Sheff Wed v Leyton Orient - Sheff Wed has won HT/FT 4 times out of 8 @ 2.74. Best bet, is to go for 2 or more goals in the second half, as 5 out of 8 games in the second half has had 2 or more goals scored. Leyton O performance have not lost in their last 6 away games with 2 wins and 4 draws. Best bet is Home win at Half-time @ 2.18
RESULT: (1-0) 1-0
Cardiff v Nottm Forest - Cardiff has been 0-0 at half-time at home in 4/8 games. Go for 0-0 at half-time @ 3.05.
RESULT: (0-0) 1-0


Top/Bottom teams
Interestingly, there appears to be not many favourites, so may just choose a treble bet with the three favourites, or a double. I will decide on Saturday.

Liverpool v Man City AW @ 2.38 LOST (1-1) 1-1
Sunderland v Wigan HW @ 1.7 LOST (1-1) 1-2
Bristol City v Southampton AW @ 1.83 LOST (0-0) 0-2
Doncaster v Watford AW @ 3 LOST (0-0) 0-0
Charlton v Huddersfield HW @ 2.3 WON (2-0) 2-0
Chesterfield v Sheff Utd AW @ 2 WON (0-0) 0-1
Southend v Bristol Rovers HW @ 1.67 LOST (0-0) 1-1
Plymouth v Northampton AW @ 2.5 LOST (4-0) 4-1


0-0 at half-time
  • Ipswich v Reading (HT 0-0)
  • Crystal Palace v Millwall (HT 0-0)

Thursday 24 November 2011

Weekend - 26th November

There are a number of teams at home that are likely to win, so may just choose a double or treble bet, or even a HT/FT win

Home wins
West Ham v Derby
MK Dons v Wycombe
Arsenal v Fulham
Stevenage v Walsall
Sheffield Wed v Leyton Orient
Gillingham v Bradford
Southend v Bristol Rovers
Cardiff v Nottingham Forest
Hull v Burnley
Hartlepool v Yeovil
Burton Albion v AFC Wimbledon

Away wins or draw
Peterborough v Middlesbrough
Chesterfield v Sheffield Utd
Bristol City v Southampton

Stats
Ipswich v Reading - Under 2.5 @ 1.96. 6 out of 8 of Reading games away has been 0-0 at Half time. Either take a risky bet of 0-0 at Half time @ 3.05, or take a punt at under 2.5, and then bet for over 2.5 goals at Half-time.
Southend v Bristol Rovers - Bristol Rovers last three away games were home team winning at half-time and full time. Although Southend record is slightly different, 4 out of 6 home games were 0-0 at Half-time and they won their game in the second half (Draw/Southend @ 5.0).
Sheff Wed v Leyton Orient - Sheff Wed has won HT/FT 4 times out of 8 @ 2.74. Best bet, is to go for 2 or more goals in the second half, as 5 out of 8 games in the second half has had 2 or more goals scored. Leyton O performance have not lost in their last 6 away games with 2 wins and 4 draws. Best bet is Home win at Half-time @ 2.18
Cardiff v Nottm Forest - Cardiff has been 0-0 at half-time at home in 4/8 games. Go for 0-0 at half-time @ 3.05.

Top/Bottom teams
Interestingly, there appears to be not many favourites, so may just choose a treble bet with the three favourites, or a double. I will decide on Saturday.

Liverpool v Man City AW @ 2.38
Sunderland v Wigan HW @ 1.7
Bristol City v Southampton AW @ 1.83
Doncaster v Watford AW @ 3
Charlton v Huddersfield HW @ 2.3
Chesterfield v Sheff Utd AW @ 2
Southend v Bristol Rovers HW @ 1.67
Plymouth v Northampton AW @ 2.5


Stats for 0-0 at half-time
I have noted the teams below that has had the majority of games goalless at half-time.
Home teams - Coventry, Crystal Palace, Reading (6), Tranmere (5)
Away teams - Brighton (7), Hull, Reading (6), Crystal Palace (5)

So by stats, the two games that will hopefully be 0-0 at half-time are:-
  • Ipswich v Reading
  • Crystal Palace v Millwall

Sunday 20 November 2011

Weekend - 19 November - RESULTS

Oh well, I had a lot of misses, but I did okay this weekend, as I was betting against the result when they were going right via the Betfair laying system.

Man City v Newcastle
H/H @ 1.91 WON 3-1
over 3.5 goals @ 2.52 WON

Chelsea v Liverpool
HT: home win @ 2.46 LOST 0-1 at HT
Over 3.5 goals @ 3.25 LOST 1-2

Brentford v Charlton
A/A @ 3.85 LOST D/A

Dag & Red v Southend
A/A @ 2.94 WON 2-3

Southampton v Brighton
H/H @ 2.24 LOST (D/H) 3-0

Reading v Cardiff
Draw at HT @ 2.12 LOST 0-1 at HT

AFC Wimbledon v Swindon
Swindon to win at HT @ 2.98 LOST 1-0 at HT
A/A @ 3.95 LOST 1-1 (H/D)

Leicester v Crystal Palace
draw at HT @ 2.18 WON 0-0

Yeovil v Exeter
Draw at HT @ 2.1 LOST 1-2 at HT

Macclesfield v Accrington Stanley
Home win at HT @ 3.15 WON 1-0 at HT
H/H @ 4.1 LOST 1-1 (H/D)

For the top and bottom teams to win/lose.
Premier
Man City to win @ 1.30 WON
Wigan to lose @ 2.75 LOST

Championship
Southampton to win @ 1.5 WON
Doncaster to lose @ 2.2 WON
League One
Charlton to win @ 2.2 WON
Yeovil to lose @ 2.75 LOST
League Two
Southend to win 1.83 WON
Plymouth to lose @ 1.75  WON

If you want to sign up to Betfair here

Thursday 17 November 2011

Weekend - 19 November

Man City v Newcastle
Man City has had 3 D/H and 2 H/H results at home, and even though Newcastle are unbeaten away, I feel that Man City are too strong and will be their first away defeat, and their last 5 home games has average 3.6 goals, so another high scoring game.
H/H @ 1.91
over 3.5 goals @ 2.52

Chelsea v Liverpool
Chelsea has had an average of 4.8 goals in their last five home games, and has lead at half-time 4 out of 5 games.
Liverpool has lost their away games when they have conceded first, and won 3 when they scored first, with their games being tight (averaging 2.2 goals away).
HT: home win @ 2.46
Over 3.5 goals @ 3.25

Brentford v Charlton
A/A @ 3.85

Dag & Red v Southend
A/A @ 2.94

Southampton v Brighton
H/H @ 2.24

Reading v Cardiff
Draw at HT @ 2.12

AFC Wimbledon v Swindon
Swindon to win at HT @ 2.98
A/A @ 3.95

Leicester v Crystal Palace
draw at HT @ 2.18

Yeovil v Exeter
Draw at HT @ 2.1

Macclesfield v Accrington Stanley
Home win at HT @ 3.15
H/H @ 4.1

For the top and bottom teams to win/lose.
       
Premier
Man City to win @ 1.30
Wigan to lose @ 2.75

Championship
Southampton to win @ 1.5
Doncaster to lose @ 2.2

League One
Charlton to win @ 2.2
Yeovil to lose @ 2.75

League Two
Southend to win 1.83
Plymouth to lose @ 1.75

Saturday 5 November 2011

Weekend 5th November

Home team to win
Man Utd v Sunderland @ 1.25
*Ipswich v Doncaster @ 1.73
MK Dons v Rochdale @ 1.62
Charlton v Preston @ 1.67
Middlesbrough v Watford @ 1.67
*Notts County v Wycombe @ 1.67
Newcastle v Everton @ 2.25
Huddersfield v Walsall @ 1.4

Away team to not lose
*Coventry v Southampton AW 1.8; D 3.5
*Plymouth v Morecambe AW 1.8; D 3.6
Dag & Red v Shrewsbury AW 2.2; D 3.3
Blackburn v Chelsea AW 1.44; D 4.0
QPR v Man City AW 1.36; D 4.5
Bradford v Cheltenham AW 2.75; D 3.75
Hereford v Crawley Town AW 1.67; D 3.75
Fulham v Tottenham   AW 2.25; D 3.25


PREM
1st Man City to win @ 1.36
20th Wigan to lose @ 1.91
Championship
1st Southampton to win @ 1.8
24th Doncaster to lose @ 1.73
League One
1st Charlton to win @ 1.67
24th Yeovil to lose @ 2.1
League Two
1st Southend to win @ 2.0
24th Plymouth to lose @ 1.8